Data Nexus

Demand and conversion

A named position in the sales process defined by something the buyer did, not by how the seller feels about it.

01/What it means

A stage is well defined when two people looking at the same deal put it in the same place without discussing it. That requires the criterion to be an observable event — a meeting held, a specification sent, a proposal opened, terms returned — rather than a state of mind like “interested” or “warm”.

Stages should also be few. Five or six that everyone applies identically forecast better than twelve applied loosely, because the value of the model is in the transition rates between stages, and a rate computed from an inconsistently applied stage is noise with a percentage sign on it.

02/What people get wrong

“Qualified”, “interested”, “hot” are unfalsifiable, so deals sit in them indefinitely and the forecast becomes a mood. Every stage should name an event with a date, and a deal that has not moved in twice the median stage duration should be surfaced automatically rather than discovered at quarter end.

Next

The definitions are the easy part. Whether the figure on your dashboard was computed this way is a different question, and usually the more expensive one.