Demand and conversion
Pipeline stage
A named position in the sales process defined by something the buyer did, not by how the seller feels about it.
A stage is well defined when two people looking at the same deal put it in the same place without discussing it. That requires the criterion to be an observable event — a meeting held, a specification sent, a proposal opened, terms returned — rather than a state of mind like “interested” or “warm”.
Stages should also be few. Five or six that everyone applies identically forecast better than twelve applied loosely, because the value of the model is in the transition rates between stages, and a rate computed from an inconsistently applied stage is noise with a percentage sign on it.
“Qualified”, “interested”, “hot” are unfalsifiable, so deals sit in them indefinitely and the forecast becomes a mood. Every stage should name an event with a date, and a deal that has not moved in twice the median stage duration should be surfaced automatically rather than discovered at quarter end.
The term is a reading taken at a point in a sequence that is already running. These are the sequences, with the place each of them jams.
- From an enquiry arriving to somebody answering it
- A message from a person who might buy, travelling from the form they filled to somebody who can actually answer what they asked. 6 steps, one inbox per channel, and a person per inbox is the arrangement that fails while looking reasonable.
A definition is free. Being answerable for the figure it produces is the part that is bought, and this term is a working part of the engagements below.
- CRM, websites and omnichannel
- One customer, one record. Every metric downstream depends on it.
- Business process audit
- Remove before you optimise. Most process debt is subtraction, not addition.
- The reply that arrives tonight
- An agent that will not say "I do not know" is not a sales asset. It is a liability with a fast response time.
The definitions are the easy part. Whether the figure on your dashboard was computed this way is a different question, and usually the more expensive one.